STRATEGY

Retention marketing for Shopify brands: where to start

Retention marketing for a Shopify brand is everything you do to turn a first-time buyer into a repeat customer: mostly email and SMS flows, timed to when people actually run out, need help or are ready for something new. Start with three numbers in your Shopify reports, then build the flows that bring people back for order two: post-purchase, reorder reminders and winback. This is for founders selling on Shopify who are paying to acquire customers and want more of them to come back without paying again.

Jack White
Jack White Founder, Bardown Digital
Updated · 7 min read
KEY TAKEAWAYS
  • Retention marketing means getting first-time buyers to buy again. Shopify defines customer retention as the ability to bring back first-time customers to make repeat purchases.
  • Track three numbers first: returning customer rate, purchase frequency and customer lifetime value.
  • Flows do most of the retention work. Klaviyo's 2026 benchmarks show flows drive about 41% of email revenue from just 5.3% of sends.
  • For consumable products, the reorder reminder is usually the biggest single lever.
  • Focus on making more money from your retention channels, not on spending less on them.

What is retention marketing?

It's marketing aimed at people who already bought from you. Shopify defines customer retention as "the ability to bring back first-time customers to make repeat purchases," and retention marketing is how you do that.

For most Shopify brands, the main channels are email and SMS, because they're the channels you own. You don't pay again every time you reach the customer, the way you do with ads. Loyalty programs, subscriptions, packaging and customer service all play a part too, but email and SMS flows are usually where the money shows up first.

Why does retention matter so much for Shopify brands?

Because a second order is where a lot of brands start making money on a customer.

The most-quoted number in this space comes from Bain's Fred Reichheld, whose book Loyalty Rules! says that "an increase in customer retention rates of 5 percent increases profits by 25 percent to 95 percent." Keep in mind that much of the original research behind that range came from financial services, not ecommerce. HBR has reported that acquiring a new customer is anywhere from 5 to 25 times more expensive than keeping one, depending on the study and the industry. The exact multiple varies. The direction doesn't.

The approved numbers I have from my own brands point the same way. A subscription wellness brand saw store revenue fall 37% in one April, with new customers dropping from 1,657 to 223 in a month. Email's share of revenue went from 41% to 53%. When acquisition dried up, the customers they already had kept the business going.

What retention metrics should you track first?

Three, all available in Shopify:

Metric What it tells you Shopify's formula
Returning customer rate What share of customers have ordered more than once Returning customers / customers
Purchase frequency How often the average customer orders Orders placed / unique customers
Customer lifetime value What a customer is worth over time AOV x repeat transactions x average retention time

You'll find the first one in your Shopify admin under Analytics, where the overview dashboard tracks returning customer rate. For more detail, go to Analytics, then Reports, and filter the category to Customers. There you'll find reports like new vs returning customers, returning customers and customer cohort analysis.

Pick one period, write the numbers down and check them again in 90 days. For more on the first one, see my repeat purchase rate post, and for the last one, how to increase customer lifetime value.

Which flows should you build first for retention?

Flows first, campaigns second. Klaviyo's 2026 email benchmarks show flows generate nearly 41% of total email revenue from just 5.3% of sends, with revenue per recipient nearly 18 times higher than campaigns. A flow goes to one person at the moment it makes sense for them. That's why it works.

Here's the order I'd build them in for retention:

  1. Post-purchase flow. Covers a new customer's first 30 days: thank them, help them use the product, set up the next order. This is where a first-time buyer decides whether you're worth coming back to. More in my post-purchase email flow post.
  2. Reorder reminder. If people use up what you sell, remind them right before they run out. This is the biggest retention lever for consumable brands.
  3. Cross-sell. Put the next logical product in front of the customer: another flavor, an accessory, a different product. Accessories can come later, so you're not hounding them.
  4. Winback. For customers who've gone quiet. Keep this one longer than you think.
  5. VIP and loyalty. Once the basics are running, reward your best customers.

Automations are deployed within the first seven days of working with me, because this is where the money is. For a full list by brand type, see Klaviyo flows for CPG brands.

How much can a reorder reminder flow make?

More than most founders expect. Across 4 brands, replenishment flows earn $2.23 per person, about 28 times the best campaign. Only 2 of those 4 brands had one before.

A subscription wellness brand's "your order is coming up" reminder made $47,321 in one month, 74% of all its flow revenue. A skincare brand's reorder reminder flow grew 496% in one month.

If you sell anything people use up, and you don't have a reorder reminder, build it this week. The setup and timing are in my repeat purchase email strategy post.

What does good retention look like over a year?

Here's one example from a skincare brand. It made $48,193 from email in all of 2025. From January to July 2026, after the flows were rebuilt, it made $203,777. Flows went from 60% to 83% of email revenue, and the store went from 6 figures to nearly 7 figures.

That's one brand, and results are never guaranteed. But it shows where retention revenue tends to come from: flows that run every day for every customer, not a bigger campaign calendar. The full story is in my skincare case study.

Should winback emails stop after one or two?

No. Across 4 brands, winback email #3 earns about 2 times what email #1 earns per person ($0.23 vs $0.11). The customers who come back often need a couple of reminders first. Same idea for cart flows: across the same 4 brands, abandoned cart email #5 still earns $0.25 per person, the same as email #3.

Most brands stop too early. Don't.

Where do most brands go wrong with retention?

Three common mistakes:

  • Cutting costs instead of growing revenue. I'd focus on making more money from Klaviyo, not saving money on it. Upgrade when you hit plan limits.
  • Over-cleaning the list. Remove obviously bad profiles, but founders spend too much time cleaning the list and not enough adding better profiles and systems to capture them.
  • Thin flows. Subscription brands in particular often lack flow depth, don't segment subscribers properly, and have no campaign series for subscribers, so customers go long stretches with no non-transactional email at all.

FAQ

What is a good repeat purchase rate?

It depends heavily on what you sell. Consumables should be higher than one-time purchases. Track your own returning customer rate in Shopify and compare it to itself every 90 days.

What's the difference between retention marketing and loyalty programs?

A loyalty program is one retention tool. Retention marketing is the whole system: post-purchase flows, reorder reminders, winback, VIP treatment and campaigns to existing customers.

How do I find my returning customer rate in Shopify?

In your Shopify admin, go to Analytics. The overview dashboard tracks returning customer rate, and Analytics then Reports, filtered to Customers, has more detailed customer reports.

How long does retention marketing take to work?

Flows start earning as soon as they're live, but the bigger gains show up after a few months, once real reorder cycles are visible in the data.

Is retention marketing only email and SMS?

No, but for most Shopify brands email and SMS are where it starts, because you own those channels and don't pay again to reach the customer.

Jack White, founder of Bardown Digital
WRITTEN BY Jack White

Founder of Bardown Digital, a Chicago-based Klaviyo email and retention agency for Shopify brands. He's worked with brands doing $500K to $100M a year, with $100M+ in email-attributed revenue across them.

SOURCES

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Find your retention leaks

If you're paying to acquire customers and not sure how many come back, that's the first thing to find out. The first strategy session is free: one hour, live with me in your Klaviyo account, and you leave with a fix list whether we work together or not. Not ready to book? Grab one of my free resources instead.

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Or email me at jackwhite@bardowndigital.com